Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.372128 3.573437 3.788174 4.035641 4.314707 4.621793 4.988266
2025-05-18 3.059749 3.328516 3.630028 3.997833 4.440906 4.966503 5.651960
2025-05-25 2.767134 3.065318 3.411959 3.852951 4.412106 5.117688 6.112992
2025-06-01 2.572694 2.894112 3.279409 3.788291 4.464995 5.372140 6.761384
2025-06-08 2.424474 2.763363 3.180527 3.750198 4.541870 5.667401 7.545312
2025-06-15 2.319627 2.676103 3.125958 3.760344 4.681619 6.074740 8.635657
2025-06-22 2.192920 2.550966 3.010624 3.673736 4.668134 6.244202 9.380761
2025-06-29 2.068108 2.419985 2.877313 3.548078 4.578297 6.271369 9.866554
2025-07-06 1.977307 2.328037 2.789817 3.479199 4.565982 6.426267 10.693770
2025-07-13 1.954316 2.324006 2.821141 3.585467 4.845383 7.165233 13.358627
2025-07-20 1.914647 2.294528 2.813908 3.631514 5.030056 7.775014 16.289705
2025-07-27 1.885645 2.277557 2.822541 3.701824 5.266883 8.569571 21.030035
2025-08-03 1.837224 2.236234 2.800483 3.733807 5.465571 9.426440 28.846174
2025-08-10 1.778608 2.177830 2.749823 3.714861 5.567469 10.111873 39.750188
2025-08-17 1.699934 2.087304 2.645743 3.596818 5.453024 10.170369 46.827338
2025-08-24 1.643330 2.026192 2.583237 3.545514 5.471819 10.651318 67.570826
2025-08-31 1.596059 1.976480 2.535362 3.515541 5.532584 11.316744 125.229288
2025-09-07 1.561624 1.943895 2.512067 3.527072 5.688935 12.440110 1311.809966
2025-09-14 1.510973 1.885215 2.444370 3.451663 5.631612 12.728324 NaN
2025-09-21 1.455974 1.818199 2.360479 3.340514 5.474596 12.537267 NaN
2025-09-28 1.414735 1.770383 2.305330 3.279499 5.432342 12.849839 NaN
2025-10-05 1.407832 1.773587 2.332183 3.375114 5.797171 15.452788 NaN
2025-10-12 1.390535 1.760225 2.331073 3.416592 6.034507 17.845782 NaN